Pressure Busts Pipes

No doubt you may have heard that Fannie unloaded about 2 yards of A1A CMBS recently as it joins the ranks of large bailed-out institutions who are looking to take part in the extraordinary structured products rally.

1. UBS: WAVE CDOs - May 2012
2. AIG: Maiden Lane - February 2012
3. Lloyds Banking Group: RMBS - May 2013
4. Fannie Mae: A1A CMBS - May 2013

And while we're at it, who could ever forget Merrill's infamous deal with LoneStar back in 2008.  I remember as I, a young neophyte in the game at the time, was perplexed by the twenty-cent handle and the fact that MER financed 75% of the deal.

But as you can tell by today's picture at the top of this page, this beloved blog is going to focus on Fannie's particular type of bond that it sold into the market.  If you want to know how the sale went, I recommend this rather robust piece by Real Estate Finance Intelligence.

In other words, "price talk for the bonds ranged from low 70s basis points for higher quality items to 200 basis points for less attractive securities."

Today's lesson will be for the newbs and for the intermediates.  There is some ground to cover here in terms of understanding what exactly these kinds of securities are and how they came to be.  The goal is to understand what Fannie's multifamily loan business is, and then try to grasp the idea of securitizing those loans into the special "A1A' bonds that I mentioned above.  Please take a seat and make sure you have your glass of water handy.

 The following is a primer I picked up via Fannie and it covers what their multifamily business is. Give it a quick read or you may proceed if you're already familiar:

1. Fannie Mae: Multifamily Overview - May 2012

Good, so hopefully now you understand how and why FNM is a  MAJOR player in the market.  Interesting how in 2008, as multifamily contracted, Fannie and Freddie stepped in to counterbalance the sudden dearth of capital and their market share went from less than 1/2 to nearly 3/4.

"The market share held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (“GSEs”) expanded significantly from less than 40% historically to more than 70% in 2009".

Interesting.

We're halfway there people.  The first half of structured-product investing is to understand and make assumptions about the collateral; that being the multifamily loans that serve as the assets for the CMBS bonds.  The second half, and dare I say, sometimes the most important, is understanding how much cash will be generated from those assets and how much cash YOU (the individual tranche) is due to receive.

Please remember this important piece from the Multifamily Overview pdf that I linked to above:

1. In MBS executions, lenders deliver loans to Fannie Mae in exchange for an MBS that is backed by the mortgage loan.

The A1A class is the MBS that is backed by the multifamily mortgage loans contributed to the CMBS trust by the originators (typically banks, such BAML, Wells Fargo, etc).  In a lot of deals, the A1A class is essentially stuffed into the deal and that tranche carries no guarantee by Fannie Mae, but is instead supported by subordination from the entire pool of assets in the Trust (including non-Multifamily assets).  

From Nomura:

1. The A1A Class: The practice of "carving-out" a multifamily tranche started in approximately 1998, and still happens in selected deals today. 
1. The collateral is split into two groups, and a AAA-rated bond is created that is primarily backed by 100% multifamily loans.
2.  Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are the only known buyers of this tranche, and the bond is created to conform to the investment rules specified in their charters.

Seriously, take a look here, as to how this all looks when jammed into the securitization.  Notice how in the "Notes" column, it says "multifamily carve-out."

Hopefully that makes a little more sense.  But what initially perplexed me the first time I heard of A1As was why they were there to begin with and also, if they received credit enhancement from the subordinate bonds in the deal?  In most cases, they do.

1. In response to investor worries about falling subordination levels in CMBS conduit/fusion deals, dealers started to break up the triple-A rated class into super-senior, "mezzanine," and "junior parts. In the structure shown in Figure 3, classes A1, A2, A3B, A3FL, A4, ASB, and A1A have 30% credit support from subordination and are called "Super Duper Seniors." 

Basically, since Fannie and Freddie are the only real buyers of A1A bonds (and hence, they finance the multifamily housing collateral), these particular tranches are made AAA in order to protect Fannie and Freddie from default risk.  Pretty good trick.  

Do remember however that:

1. Because of its position on the capital structure, if there are defaults in the multifamily loans, generally the bond will get cash from other property types as well, so the name “multifamily carve-out” can be slightly misleading. 
2. Also, if other property types default, cash may be taken from the “multifamily carve-out” to help make other AAA rated bonds whole. 

Honestly, a round of applause to Nomura for consistently doing a good job on structured products primers.  Cheers.

Hopefully the Real Estate Finance Intelligence article makes more sense at this point.  I suggest you give it another look.

Until next time.

~ Jingle Male

CMBS Strategist sues former employer, UBS

Dealbreaker:

So let’s take a look at this lawsuit filed yesterday by a UBS commercial mortgage strategist named Trevor Murray. He seems not to have gotten along with his boss Ken Cohen, a former Lehman guy now in charge of UBS’s CMBS business. From the complaint:

13. Plaintiff was … the target of a concerted, extended effort by UBS Securities, through Mr. Cohen, as well as others reporting to Mr. Cohen, to influence Plaintiff to skew his published research in ways designed to support UBS Securities’ ongoing CMBS trading and loan origination activities.
14. In June 2011 Mr. Cohen implored Plaintiff, in words or effect, to help “improve conditions in the CMBS market” because this was to be a “significant revenue generator” for the investment bank at UBS Securities. In or around September 2011, Mr. Cohen, along with the head CMBS trader, sat directly next to Plaintiff and told him that a person from the market had approached Mr. Cohen about Plaintiff’s research. Mr. Cohen stated that he disagreed with Plaintiff’s research, and asked Plaintiff, so as not to “confuse” the market, to inform the head CMBS trader about his research ideas prior to publication in order to maintain “consistency” between what he and they were saying about UBS Securities’ CMBS products and trading positions.

They go on to point out that it sounds like he was actually a strategist, not a researcher, so the research rules they're trying to trip UBS up on are not going to apply. If your a strategist, you work for the desk and are biased, if you're a research analyst you're supposed to be unbiased. It also sounds like he was off message with his employer, the desk. DB then points out that it turns out his position was kind of wrong too, so, that kind of sucks for him. So, you have a guy whose boss thinks he's doing a bad job, data backs that up at least to some extent, he gets fired, and then he sues and makes allegations which probably open him up to damage claims from UBS. I have a feeling this isn't going to work out well for him and he's going to end up spending $20-$50k to figure that out.

To be clear, that's just my 5 minute take away on the matter - he may have a more compelling case, but it's not apparent from the DB article or the Bloomberg and Reuters stories that are out about it either...

Bank of America Center Refied

This $845mm loan refied last week - BACM 2004-4 ($150mm senior, $103mm rake legs), BACM 2004-5 ($137mm), MLMT 2004-BPC1 ($130mm), and $230mm in Mezz.

The new debt ($600mm) was provided by Pac Life and Met Life, carries a 5.1% coupon, 10 year balloon, amortizing structure.

This 1.8mm square foot office is 93% leased at an average rate of $56.35/sf with the major tenants being BofA (659k sf), Kirkland & Ellis (125k sf), and UBS (107k sf).

Vornado purchased a 70% stake of this property and 1290 Avenue of the Americas in 2007.

CMBS Issuance to pick up steam in 2011

Nothing new here, but always good to see CMBS in the TOP news on Bloomberg.

Deutsche Bank and UBS are teaming up to issue as much as $2.5 billion in commercial mortgage-backed securities linked to loans on office buildings, shopping malls and hotels in what would be the largest offering of its kind since the market froze in June 2008, according to a person familiar with the deal. JPMorgan plans to sell $1.5 billion in similar debt, a person familiar with that sale said.