Friday, February 20, 2009

Moody's completed downgrades

Following 7 days of correcting their ratings on 1,422 bonds worth over $50 billion, Moody's stated it was done with its review. The actions were highly anticipated for some time, and made for a volatile market the last two weeks.

Obviously, Moody's made a huge mistake - they are not downgrading these due to deterioration in quality, but rather due to changes in their model. And their new model is only calling for 5% losses on recently issued deals with the weakest credit profiles. Historical losses when times were good are 3%! I don't know how they are still in business.
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